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Overwhelming majority of Black voters in key battlegrounds supporting Harris: Polling

By Cheyanne M. Daniels - 9/19/24, 10:13 AM EDT

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A majority of Black voters in battleground states support Vice President Harris over former President Trump, according to new polling. 

A new Howard Initiative on Public Opinion survey found that 78 percent of registered Black voters across Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin said they would vote for Harris over Trump if the election were held today. 

That number increased to 82 percent among likely voters. Only 12 percent of likely voters said they would vote for Trump in November. 

An overwhelming 96 percent of likely voters said there was a slight to no chance they would vote for Trump in November. 

The poll is one of three the Howard Initiative on Public Opinion will conduct in an effort to unveil trends and shifts in attitudes and voting plans among Black voters. 

In all, 74 percent of likely Black voters had a favorable view of Harris, compared to only 17 percent who had a favorable view of Trump.

Black voters also had a more favorable view of Harris than Trump on nearly every issue. 

While 76 percent of likely voters said Harris’s positions and agenda on the economy make them more likely to vote for her in November, only 18 percent said the same of Trump. 

Sixty-eight percent of respondents said Harris’s positions on immigration make them more likely to vote for her compared to only 17 percent who said the same of Trump. 

Eighty-four percent of likely voters indicated they would be very or somewhat concerned about a rise in hate or brutality against African Americans if Trump is reelected in November. Eighty-five percent also said they were concerned about a rise in extremist groups, while 83 percent said they would be very or somewhat concerned about American democracy being threatened if Trump is reelected. 

Voters were also asked about Trump’s felony convictions. 

Eighty-four percent of likely voters said he was rightfully convicted. While 50 percent said they support restoring voting rights to people convicted of felonies after they serve their sentence, 82 percent said Trump should not have the right to run for president as a convicted felon.

The survey was conducted Sept. 4 through 11, via live phones with trained operators and online. The margin of error for the total data is plus or minus 3.1 percentage points, and the margin of error for likely voters is plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

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