Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

GOP South Carolina primaries

Dec 21, 2024

Photograph of Trump

Trump

63.3%

Estimate

95% of polls fall in this range

32 polls

Latest Poll: Wed, Nov 27, 8:05 AM EST

Feb 22 – 24

1,093 LV

Trafalgar
58.9%

Trump

37.5%

Haley

+21 Trump

Feb 16 – 19

500 LV

USA Today/Suffolk Un...
63.0%

Trump

35.0%

Haley

+28 Trump

Feb 16 – 18

1,197 LV

Emerson College Poll...
58.0%

Trump

35.0%

Haley

+23 Trump

Feb 15 – 16

800 LV

Insider Advantage
60.0%

Trump

38.0%

Haley

+22 Trump

Feb 14 – 16

1,089 LV

The Trafalgar Group
63.0%

Trump

34.0%

Haley

+29 Trump

Feb 6 – 12

505 RV

The Citadel Poll
64.0%

Trump

31.0%

Haley

+33 Trump

Feb 6 – 11

1,483 RV

CBS News/YouGov
65.0%

Trump

30.0%

Haley

+35 Trump

Feb 3 – 11

1,717 RV

Winthrop Poll
65.0%

Trump

29.0%

Haley

+36 Trump

Feb 2 – 9

379 LV

FAU/Mainstreet Resea...
67.0%

Trump

22.0%

Haley

+45 Trump

Feb 2 – 9

402 RV

FAU/Mainstreet Resea...
65.0%

Trump

23.0%

Haley

+42 Trump

+ More Polls

The polling bias for the 2016 and 2020 Presidential elections is based on analysis from the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) comparing actual results to national polls. For the 2018 and 2022 elections, bias was measured by comparing FiveThirtyEight's Generic Ballot polling average with the adjusted US House National Popular vote, using data from the UVA Center for Politics (2018) and DecisionDeskHQ (2022).

Related Stories