Decision Desk HQ / The Hill Logo

Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s ultimate hub for polls, predictions, and election results.

2024 presidential predictions

Build your own prediction map for the 2024 presidential election by rating each state as "safe", "likely", "lean", or "toss-up" depending on which party or candidate you think will win. A candidate must reach 270 electoral votes to be elected president.

Reset Map

Share Map

226

DEM

GOP

219

270 For Election

Safe Dem

Likely Dem

Lean Dem

Toss-Up

Lean Gop

Likely Gop

Safe Gop

Click on a state to change to its winning party

NM5SD3CA54KY8AL9GA16AR6PA19MO10CO10UT6OK7TN11WY3NY28IN11KS6ID4AK3NV6IL19MN10IA6SC9MT4AZ11NE5WA12TX40OH17WI10OR8MS6NC16VA13WV4LA8MI15FL30ND3ME4HI4 1 1 1 1 1

NE

State

2

CD-1

1

CD-2

1

CD-3

1

ME

2
1
1
CT 7
DE 3
DC 3
MD 10
MA 11
NH 4
NJ 14
RI 4
VT 3

Nebraska and Maine award two electoral college votes to the candidate receiving the highest share of the statewide popular vote, and one electoral vote to the candidate receiving the highest share of the vote in each congressional district.

Related Stories