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Harris, Trump hold narrow leads in key swing state: Poll

By Tara Suter - 11/3/24, 8:04 AM EST

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Vice President Harris and former President Trump hold leads in different important swing states, according to new polling.

The polling from The New York Times/Siena College and The New York Times/Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena College, released Sunday, found Harris garnered 49 percent support from likely voters to Trump’s 46 percent support in Nevada; 48 percent support from likely voters to Trump’s 46 percent in North Carolina; 49 percent support from likely voters to Trump’s 47 percent in Wisconsin; and 48 percent support from likely voters to Trump’s 47 percent in Georgia.

Trump came out ahead in the polling in Arizona, garnering 49 percent support from likely voters to Harris’s 45 percent, while the two were tied at 47 percent support from likely voters in Michigan and 48 percent support from likely voters in Pennsylvania. Harris leads in the seven battleground states overall by 1 point, garnering 48 percent support from likely voters to Trump’s 47 percent support.

The polling comes two days away from this year’s Election Day, which will follow a chaotic and highly polarized campaign cycle that featured two assassination attempts against Trump and President Biden exiting the race. 

In an average of national polls from The Hill/Decision Desk HQ, Trump is ahead of Harris by 0.2 points, with the former president earning 48.3 percent support to the vice president’s 48.1 percent.

The Times/Siena polling also showed good news for Democratic Senate candidates in the swing states, with 50 percent of the likely voters in the seven states saying they would “be more likely to vote for” a Democrat in the race versus 45 percent saying they would be more likely to vote for a Republican.

The Times/Siena and Times/Inquirer/Siena polling took place between Oct. 24 and Nov. 1, featuring 7,879 voters and a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 1.3 percentage points, with each state having around a plus or minus 3.5 percentage point margin of sampling error.

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